A couple of weeks ago, I wrote that “the conclusion that the United States is unlikely to engage in a military strike against Iran is unfortunately probably correct. But, then, the physical survival of the USA is not currently at stake. The same cannot be said for Israel, so it should not be assumed that she will necessarily refrain from taking military action against Iran even ‘without the military and political backing of the United States’.”
Such a view is supported by an article in last Thursday’s “Washington Post” in which David Ignatius reports that “Panetta believes there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June.”
Ignatius concludes: “U.S. officials don’t think that Netanyahu has made a final decision to attack, and they note that top Israeli intelligence officials remain skeptical of the project. But senior Americans doubt that the Israelis are bluffing.”
It is to be hoped that the current half-hearted embargo being exercised against Iran will nevertheless be sufficiently effective to persuade her to forgo her nuclear ambitions. However, I doubt it.